That means that USA’s policy sets up — and by reading, deliberately so — feedback loops whereby we attack in the Middle East, killing many innocent civilians, and then we suffer retaliatory terrorist attacks (rarely but occasionally here at home) and then we attack again and again, because, “Gosh! Terrorism must be destroyed!”, and then they hit us again, and then we hit them again.

There’d be less killing if we spent all that money on school teachers, stopped bombing and droning, and let things simmer down. But simmering down is not in the game plan of the arms industries. Or the generals who, upon retirement, go to work in — Yes! — the arms induistries.

Short of an amphibious operation the Hormuz chokepoint will be closed to oil tanker traffic. US and Israeli air and naval operations alone cannot open and secure the Hormuz gulf to tanker traffic. And time will not be on America’s side as the Iranian military and the products of their ‘military industrial complex’ prove tougher to defeat than imagined. Global opprobrium from diplomatic resistance and economic sanction lead by Russia and China will isolate the US, Israel and anyone stupid enough to ally with us. And the devastating economic & job killing effects of losing 40% of the world’s petroleum production will have Americans on their knees screaming for an end to hostilities.

In living memory Iranians have suffered a million casualties in the Iraqi/Iranian war and had everything thrown at them except the nuclear bomb. The Iranians have a record of proven steadfastness. The ‘few, the proud and the brave’ are not enough in number to save America this time. The vast hordes of Bubba’s and Shrub’s that characterize the unmanliness of Boomer & Gen X America will break and run, and once these vermin start running there will be no stopping them.

In the wake of such an event the US will find its hands full just trying to remain a hemispheric power in its neck of the woods. Israel will be ‘alone,’ (as they often stupidly claim) and will truly know for the first time what it means to be ‘alone’ in a hostile world without a big brother. But there are greater perils than a finished Israel. In the aftermath of such a failure, those US politicians that today profess such undying, eternal love and loyalty to Israel will be blaming Jewish/Americans as the whipping boy, fall guy, the ideal scapegoat to feed to the clamoring mobs in hopes of saving themselves from the murderous angst and ire they so richly deserve.

Can’t happen? Just attack Iran.

I believe Obama made this same calculation several years ago, and has basically given up on a Middle East peace deal. Poor John Kerry is just window dressing. Politically Obama is almost certainly correct, and he has other fish to fry in his second term. But morally his decision is disgusting!